>>43609515The odds of two people encountering a shiny on the same encounter are 1 in 202,500.
The chances of two people obtaining the same pokemon (Which is a pretty uncommon pokemon in our area) is already not fantastic, but not implausible if they play a lot. The chances of both of them encountering a shiny one of the same species (with hundreds of possible species) is far beyond 1 in x million just based on quick math.. That doesn't account for the relationship between the two people which isn't actually relevant in a statistical sense which
>>43609596 assumed, even though it's a reasonable assumption for a non-mathematician to make. It's better wording to just say your odds are doubled to get two 1/450 ch ance shinies at the same time which would be 1 in 202,500.. then multiply it by 1 in (chance of encountering a chansey among all posssibilities) which if we assume is even, conservatively, 1 in 30, makes the odds.. 1 in 6 million. (at the same time.) Then to calculate over a 24 hour period you'd just have to know each person's average number of encounters and average accordingly. But since Chansey is more like 1 in 100 or even less.. obviously my initial math still holds true - it's a 1 in millions chance.
