>>21502949Today CNN had an exit poll with a 9% MOE that found that 57% of early voters/mail voters in PA were democrats. This roughly corresponds to the total share of mail ballots requested by democrats, indicating republicans may have won over 75% of independents who early voted. It also had data that showed of all democrats polled, 60% who planned on voting had already voted. Only 40% of republicans did. The closer to election day, the higher the turnout, the more republicans are voting.
PA "early voting" is all considered mail voting. If correct that 60% of democrats have already voted in PA the democrats are completely fucked without lube since it would indicate they'll get maybe 2.5 million votes max, while Trump is breaking 3.5 million. But this may just be because of the shit way they report data.
https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/2024-general-election-early-vote-pennsylvania/It is difficult to say but democrats may fail to break 70 million votes total this time, while Trump may have 84 million, Trump is campaigning in Richmond so the final map may give him 355 electoral votes if he actually rapes her that hard. But this is hard to say as there are still 5 days and republicans are overrunning voting booths, with Trump demanding extensions in Pennsylvania.
