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Anonymous ID:IOCXWaTH Thu 17 Oct 2024 15:51:22 No.21423635 View View Report

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>>21423616
>The betting favorite has lost only twice since 1866, according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization. Markets failed to predict Trump's 2016 win. The only other time: 1948, when Democrat Harry Truman beat 8-to-1 odds to defeat Republican Thomas Dewey.
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024
https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states
It is extremely doubtful, a lot has shifted in the last 2 weeks
>Red Sweep (Republican control): Most bullish for USD across the board
>Blue Sweep (Democratic control): Most bearish for USD, but moves likely smaller than in Red Sweep
>Trump win without Congress: USD strength, but FX carry trades at risk
>Harris win without Congress: Mixed bag, with Asian FX potential outperformer

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