>>22214581Usually a crash happens ~6 months after the 2YR/10YR yield spread deinverts, and ~3 months after the 3M/10YR yield spread initially deinverts, and right as the 3M/10YR yield spread briefly reinverts for a second time. It happened with the last several crashes, including covid. I'm going through the 2020 /biz/ archives right now to see how our past selves responded to this situation.