>>17932988People forget that he's conscripted no life prisoners and given them a feeling of power, that's not an insignificant factor. With a horde of 20-30 something low functioning sociopaths at his disposal with nothing to lose and everything to gain, he has a more loyal and more brutal collection of troops than the Russian MoD. Your average mobnik with kids at home who just wants to get through it all would stand down first if it looked like it could go either way.
I think that's the big deciding factor if Wagner does march on Moscow. The security forces there with wives and kids aren't really going to be motivated to get into a brutal shooting match to the death with literal psychos, they'll likely fold.