>>20935208making assumptions is fine, but when a large amount of evidence comes in to challenge your original assumption you need to take that into account.
Most people would assume Elon Musk must be some tech expert like Gates or Wozniak, I did too. Or maybe he has a good mind for startups like Larry Page or Sergey Brin.
But then you listen to him speak and he doesn't sound very smart at all, even in his field of expertise his knowledge is very superficial. Then you start to notice that his most profitable sources of revenue all involve US government contracts, and they all have a vested interest in promoting him as a great genius. And all his employees at SpaceX make way more money than they did working as a federal employee for NASA, so they all have an incentive to keep the ruse going.
Then you notice that he isn't a startup guy at all; he bought his position in those companies, he didn't start anything from the ground up.
Then you look at his futuristic ideas and they're all stupid, none of them ever worked and every government who tried them wasted all the money for nothing.
I wanted to believe he was smart and deserved his status and all the haters were just jealous, but there's too much evidence to the contrary. He's just really good at getting venture capital funding and government funding. His skill is that he's good at scamming stupid rich people. And everyone who works for him plays along because it is profitable to them.
