>>21138583>Doesn't matter. When dealing with questions of probability, your past random choices impact the probability of the present outcome. Your random selection of the box, for instance. You are also arbitrarily selecting a starting point. The entire statement is part of the same problem.I concede that you are trolling and I'm wasting time, but I'll answer this.
If I flip a coin twice, double heads is 25%. We can both agree on this.
If I have already flipped a coin heads, and we bet on if the next one will be heads as well it is 50%.
You are suggesting an interpretation of the question that renders it invalid, and thus you get to choose any interpretation you want. This is wrong on two levels.
1. If the premise is in fact invalid, then the answer obviously isn't 1/2. It would simply be invalid.
2. Your interpretation of the question is dumb as hell. The reading is: You pick a box at random, you pick a ball at random. This will net you a random ball. This could be a gold ball, or it could be a silver ball. Then it says, discard the cases where it was a silver ball. It states it simply: The case you got was a gold ball. This does by no means interfere with previous probability. The initial cases are given.
Your reading has nothing to do with probability, and all to do with an autistic misinterpretation of basic instructions.
