You're talking to a random person and you ask him "how many kids do you have" , he says "two". You then ask "who's your favorite" and he says "my girl named Suzy".
Anonymous
50%
Anonymous
>>7873697 100%
wouldn't choose the girl as the favorite if the other choice was a boy
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:02:33 No. 7873726 Report >>7873720 Correct but for the wrong reason.
He says my girl named suzy.
Next question, you walk up to a man and ask "do you have two children and do you have a daughter" and he says "yes and yes" , what is the probability that his other child is a daughter
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:04:00 No. 7873733 Report Quoted By:
Anonymous
>>7873726 Can he say yes to having 2 children but actually have more than 2? Like you can ask if I have a car and I'll say yes, but in fact I have 2 cars.
I he is honest about having 2 children and having a daughter than the other kid has to be a boy.
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:07:34 No. 7873745 Report >>7873741 >Can he say yes to having 2 children but actually have more than 2? No
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:09:22 No. 7873747 Report >>7873741 >I he is honest about having 2 children and having a daughter than the other kid has to be a boy No, he doesn't have to be . You can have two children and have two daughters and still answer that question.
Anonymous
>>7873745 Then I think it's 0% chance to have 2 girls since he has 2 kids and he said he has A daughter which implies a single daughter
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:10:37 No. 7873751 Report >>7873748 Ok fine you're right.
Next question, you walk up to a man and ask "do you have two children and do you have at least one daughter" and he says "yes and yes" , what is the probability that his other child is a daughter
Anonymous
>>7873747 Oh then it is still 50% I think since it's an independent event from the first daughter. Or it's 25% if it's not an independent event. I think it is independent though so I'll say 50%
Anonymous
Quoted By:
>>7873751 I think it's still 50%.
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:14:07 No. 7873761 Report >>7873757 It's 33% if you'd like to know why then ask me
Anonymous
I wanna ask one. A man says he has only 3 kids. What are the odds that none of those kids are daughters?
Anonymous
>>7873761 Is it a Monty Hall kinda thing?
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:16:28 No. 7873766 Report Anonymous
>>7873766 Correct.
The Monty Hall Problem is pretty neat. So I guess it's a 1 in 3 instead of a 1 in 4 outcome huh?
Anonymous
Quoted By:
I gotta sleep now. Be well mister npc! This was fun.
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:22:31 No. 7873787 Report Quoted By:
>>7873774 It's more similar to the one with boxes
The possible combinations of children is
BB
BG
GB
GG
If you ask if they have a girl then you can remove BB so then you have
GB
BG
GG
So you have 2 possible boy combinations and only one Girl combination
So you get 1/3
Anonymous
>>7873697 pretty much zero if he is a normal person
Anonymous
Oh I've seen this! It's like where you have different colored balls and you pull one out and try to calculate the odds of the next ball being the same color. Yeah I get it now. Glad I looked at this thread one more time before dosing off.
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:27:33 No. 7873804 Report Quoted By:
>>7873794 >>7873724 I knew that would happen but I didn't feel like preventing it.
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:28:11 No. 7873805 Report Anonymous
>>7873801 this is different cause with balls you can't pick out contextual messages
if someone has two daughters and goes for specifying gender he would probably say if its younger one or older one, if he just specifies gender than the other kid is most likely a boy unless the person you're speaking to is severely autistic and can't follow simple social queues.
Anonymous
>>7873805 If the man said.
>I have only 2 kids >My oldest is a girl Does that make the only options
GB
GG
And change the odds to 50/50 for the second child tq1o be a daughter?
Anonymous
Quoted By:
>>7873813 I think they usually say how many colors of balls there are to start with.
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:33:44 No. 7873821 Report Quoted By:
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig
Ncp (levle 0 broken ) <akari gang> !!PfcppGG/dig ID:0B5PCyWx Wed 17 Apr 2019 07:34:27 No. 7873823 Report Quoted By:
>>7873813 He specified with a name.
Anonymous
>>7873813 >unless the person you're speaking to is severely autistic and can't follow simple social queues plz no bully...
Anonymous
Quoted By:
>>7873825 only if you're cute autismo and not cwc tier autismo
