>>9192841but it seems like they WERE understood, that's why I'm so utterly confused, even the "intelligence community" knew bad shit would happen, e.g. from the senate intelligence report on intelligence on pre-war Iraq or whatever it's called
"This volume of the report includes seven pages of conclusions regarding assessments provided by the intelligence community to U.S. government leaders prior to the Iraq war. The report concludes that the intelligence community had assessed that establishing a stable government in Iraq would be a "long, difficult, and probably turbulent challenge," that Iraqi society was deeply divided and would engage in violent conflict unless an occupying power took steps to prevent it, and that the war would increase the threat of terrorism, at least temporarily. The intelligence community also assessed that a U.S. defeat and occupation of Iraq would lead to a surge in political Islam and increased funding for terrorist groups, and that the war would not cause other countries in the region to abandon their WMD programs. "
They knew it'd cause more terrorism, they knew it wouldn't stop any theoretical Iran program, they knew it'd destabilize the area, and they knew it wouldn't be easy.
People were either lied to or refused to listen to facts, because all the shit seems to have been predicted, and not by some crazy homeless guy, but by the people who's job it is to predict this.