>>1521531Fuel Cells could have been on the marked since what? 1960s?
Thats when satellite tech forcefully advanced the tech to commercial levels.
The problem with Fuel Cells is that nobody is pushing them, most companies involves is just sitting on mountains of IP trying to hope somebody else will make the first move.
Its dead jim, unless somebody rolls out a decent solution. Which mean its a major motor company, and Toyota or General Motor isn't doing that.
For the electric car the combination of Lithium & MOSFET has been on the marked since the 1980s. And its mostly been moped car manufacturers of questionable scale using the tech to produce moped sized cars for city commute, not actual usage.
Commercial mandates just lead to manufacturers develop car sized moped cars like the Honda EV Plus. Which basically is the same thing as with Fuel Cell cars: You make a few models, keep on with small refinement, but you don't push the tech for a actual marked hotcake selling car. You then make a limited run to make sure you have the production capacity.
This method of IP defense do have a advantage: Once Tesla turned out to be a success in 2006 and managed to stay competitive towards 2012, Nissan could make a "reasonably priced cheap car" to compete on global sales in 2013.
What do this mean? I think it works the same for fuel cells.
If Nikola Motors turns out to be more than a Investment Mayfly Money Laundering scam? They still have to get past the hurdle of entering mass production. Or it could be any other company.
Once they have done mass production and is a decade ahead in the tech, any company with a patent heap like Toyota is only going to be a decade of tech behind, and can copy the superficial solutions to make a better Mirai for the mass marked. So will GM and Volkswagen Group as well. If the large car manifacturers didn't keep that patent heap afloat, they would be 2-3 decades behind whatever new fangled cool Fuel Vehicle that could enter the mass marked.
