Topline Polls consistently show Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump since becoming the official Democratic presidential nominee—with the latest Monmouth University survey showing Harris up five points, the third poll this week that found she would beat Trump if the election were held today.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/08/14/trump-vs-harris-2024-polls-harris-up-5-in-latest-survey/Forty-eight percent of registered voters polled by Monmouth University in a survey released Wednesday said they will definitely or probably vote for Harris in November, compared to 43% who said they would definitely or probably vote for Trump.
An Economist/YouGov poll taken Aug. 11-13 also found 46% of registered voters would cast their ballots for Harris, while 44% would vote for Trump in a five-way race with third-party candidates on the ballot.
The vice president leads Trump 47% to 44% in Morning Consult’s latest poll released Monday, with 4% of registered voters surveyed selecting “someone else” and 4% saying they don’t know—the fourth week in a row Morning Consult’s weekly poll has shown Trump trailing Harris.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll released last Thursday found Harris leads 42% to 37% when voters are allowed to say they don’t know who they’ll vote for, a shift from Harris’ 37%-34% lead in late July—but the lead shifts to just 49%-47% in Harris’ favor when voters who are unsure are pressured to answer.
Harris built a three-point lead over Trump in an NPR/PBS News/Marist poll released last Tuesday, polling 48% to 45% over Trump, though with a margin of error of 3.3 points, Trump remains in striking distance, while independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. falls well behind at 5%.
Harris also leads Trump by one point nationally in a CBS News poll released Aug. 4, in part because younger and Black voters said they’re more likely to vote and women indicated they believe Harris would favor their interests more (margin of error 2.1 points).
