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Trump projected to win by large margins.
Biden has pretty much the lowest approval rating of anyone in history at this point in their career.
http://thehill.com/elections/4717882-trump-holds-2-in-3-chance-of-winning-in-new-election-forecast/
Trump holds 2-in-3 chance of winning in new election forecast
Former President Trump has a 2-3 chance of winning the White House in November, according to The Economist’s election forecast model launched Wednesday.
The model predicts Trump has a 66-100 chance of winning, while President Biden has a 33-100 chance of winning.
The results are similar to a forecast model from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill released late last month. In that model’s most recent update, Trump holds a 56-100 chance of winning the presidency, while Biden has a 44-100 chance.
The Economist’s forecast model, which is set to be updated daily, puts the likelihood of a Trump victory at the highest level since the beginning of March — the earliest daily prediction The Economist included retroactively in its forecast model.
For about three months, Trump’s chances of winning were in the mid-to-high 50s, occasionally reaching 60 or 61. Biden’s chances, conversely, were mostly in the low-to-mid 40s, occasionally dropping down to 39 or 40.
As opposed to national polling averages — which suggest a toss-up race between Trump and Biden — the forecast model looks at the electoral college vote map and calculates the likelihood of a candidate reaching the necessary 270 votes to win.
The Economist model identifies six battleground states, worth 77 electoral votes, that will be decisive in November, noting Trump won five of the six in 2016, and Biden won all six in 2020.
Biden has pretty much the lowest approval rating of anyone in history at this point in their career.
http://thehill.com/elections/4717882-trump-holds-2-in-3-chance-of-winning-in-new-election-forecast/
Trump holds 2-in-3 chance of winning in new election forecast
Former President Trump has a 2-3 chance of winning the White House in November, according to The Economist’s election forecast model launched Wednesday.
The model predicts Trump has a 66-100 chance of winning, while President Biden has a 33-100 chance of winning.
The results are similar to a forecast model from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill released late last month. In that model’s most recent update, Trump holds a 56-100 chance of winning the presidency, while Biden has a 44-100 chance.
The Economist’s forecast model, which is set to be updated daily, puts the likelihood of a Trump victory at the highest level since the beginning of March — the earliest daily prediction The Economist included retroactively in its forecast model.
For about three months, Trump’s chances of winning were in the mid-to-high 50s, occasionally reaching 60 or 61. Biden’s chances, conversely, were mostly in the low-to-mid 40s, occasionally dropping down to 39 or 40.
As opposed to national polling averages — which suggest a toss-up race between Trump and Biden — the forecast model looks at the electoral college vote map and calculates the likelihood of a candidate reaching the necessary 270 votes to win.
The Economist model identifies six battleground states, worth 77 electoral votes, that will be decisive in November, noting Trump won five of the six in 2016, and Biden won all six in 2020.
