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Everything depends on climate and location
Dont know where you are or what the weather is going to be? You overpack
I carry this in summer when the skies are clear for anywhere from 1 to 4 nights
If it rains I swap the poncho/groundsheet for a hardshell and a tent
If it's cold I swap for a tent and trade the jungle blanket for a sleeping bag and add some heavier base layers
If there isnt going to be much water carry extra bottles and so on and so forth