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Loli because you could train her right away and teach her valuable life skills without her having to unlearn anything. She would also make goo companionship because if you chose to groom her to be your bride, she would end up more or less how you wanted her to be, and if not, then you would have a daughter-figure to look after, and would get to experience fatherhood, assuming youre not a father already.
Hatchet because you can make knives and a fishrod, you can't exactly make a hatchet. Guns are more or less useless because salty sea air would fucking destroy the guns, and limited ammo means you would likely not have the foresight to conserve ammo for a full 20 years. A gun can't build a shelter or a fire, a fishrod can't either, a knife can do both, but you would destroy the knives int eh process, which leaves the axe the best thing to choose since you could use it to make a knife via flint knapping, build a shelter, and build a fishing rod.
The ball is a good choice, as its free,however you can also make a ball from leaves and whatnot. Weed is irrelevant because it would kill you by turning you into a lazy piece of shit, and you would burn through it all in about four years, because if theres one thing I know about stoners, its that they never do things in moderation. This leaves the notes, radio, and mp3 player. The notes would be good for things like "hunting koala, back by sun down", but charcoal could be used the same way and is renewable. The radio would be good for keeping up with world events, but the last thing you should worry about when stranded on an island is who won the newest iteration of "American Idol". This leaves the mp3 player. Sure, songs would get repetitive after 20 years, but realistically, a kid doesn't listen to a whole lot of music, so you would basically have the entire thing filled with music you like.