>>2781502>the saturday night for the one back in maystill mad you got late to the party? you're not alone at all
no, the forecast for that night was way worse than for the night before, and it came out when the storm was still raging. KP7 is still not a lot for unusual latitudes.
That storm died down basically at 7/8 PM CEST, so shortly before sunset in Western Europe, and the NOAA model showed no activity as a result. (I remember because i was monitoring it all night, the amateur astronomers group i'm in decided to meet up that night because they all missed the night before except me).
btw if you stayed up all night despite the NOAA 1-hour lead model not showing anything, you are a room temperature iq brainlet
needless to say, these
>>2781439 >>2781500 forecasts are made several hours to days before and are based on estimates on solar activity, so obviously they can be very imprecise, while this
>>2780734 has a lead time of half/max 1 hour and is very precise giving that is done with measurements from satellites in L1