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I took a look at the 400 zoom options on E-mount, and there is just no way Canon can compete against this if they block Sigma and Tamron.
They have
>Sigma, the cheapest option with quarter macro and okay aperture size, low weight
>Tamron, the more expensive option that has everything the Sigma has and more
>1st party, the most expensive option with biggest aperture
Compared to that, what does RF have?
A single f/5.6 to f/8 option that is severely limited in aperture, and more than anything an attempt to upsell to their $2900 100-500.
Canon isn't going to make it unless they revert their policies.