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The rough year comes later. This will be a mostly dominating year for him.
Right now, he's raping all the rookies and will continue to do so for at least a while. He'll be the wall that the rookies will try to tear down and it will be momentous when it finally happens. SANADA will job to him for the billionth time. Finlay might be a threat later but he's gonna be in a Tama program and have the Never belt for the foreseeable future.
He might lose the belt. Maybe to Naito or Finlay later down the line. But he'll be booked as strongly as ever overall.
I figure it's gonna be 2024, 2025 or 2026 where Okada is taken down from his high horse and starts being in serious competition with the wave of people coming in. Probably 2025 or 2026.