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WWE's storylines are predictable because they're taking the sensible, and realistic arcs and routes for the characters involved for the most part.
A good story isn't about keeping your audience guessing if someone's going to do something, it's about making the audience care about how they get to the logical conclusion.
AEW has the guts to try some more swervy storytelling, high risk high reward. Unfortunately, they just don't stick the landing most of the time and that's due to a massively overstacked upper card.