>>5419604When I write my quests, I generally do not know exactly what will happen but I have a sort of oracle of ideas based upon various image-symbols and scenarios. If you know tarot it is not that different. And to be entirely honest, a lot of investment analysis / research forecasts used this methodology too with vaguely interpreted colourful overlay line charts.
Usually my image-symbols are derived from films videogames art literature poetry history etc but also what is occurring in the world.
So for example when I started writing The LIGHTNING SEA on 2022 Sept 2,
>>5391397I did not predict the exact idea that there would be a sabotage explosion at sea that irrevocably disrupts European electricity grids,
>>5417146 (in the quest)>>5413987 (another quest image)>>5417162 (picture in the qtg.)>>5417769 (qtg, the actual real world situation)but if you looked around the world at the time you could see a lot of weird naval antics/tension and a lot of fears for the power generation situation in Europe this coming winter, all of these phenomena were known. So I had prepared a lot of images based on the idea of a fire at sea, an explosion at sea etc (some of these from my old Galerne game setting). And then I just wait and see what develops.
The reason why you might obscure and obfuscate with the turboautism is because it is unlikely that you will get a highly specific prediction exactly correct (investment people know all about this). You have to be prepared for a wide range of scenarios to emerge and develop with your forecast/prediction still retaining some validity. With some events there is certainty, eg the Queen's death, all people die, there are actuarial probability tables used by pension funds to predict death by age and year etc, and it was a coincidence that it occurred within a few months of my mentioning it in my setting Song Of The Oath And Wild.
https://archived.moe/qst/thread/5265138/#5268132What a lot of people get wrong is they cannot distinguish between apophenia and confirmation bias etc when predicting. There is a huge swathe of these human behavioural phenomena, some of which contradict each other, you can see
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_biasor just this graphic (picrel)
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Cognitive_bias_codex_en.svg/2560px-Cognitive_bias_codex_en.svg.pngthat investment people use to try and dehumanise lol themselves with so that they can feel superior lol.
This is why you should not use tarot or astrology to predict the nth digit of pi, use a spigot alogrithm instead lol. But I reckon you can use these behavioural heuristics beyond seeing them as errors or mental defects. Because you can put them to use to make interesting imaginative narratives, and that is how you make games, and remain human.
