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Did a Tyranitar raid today. Only got 7 balls but managed to catch it. Here's my current approach:
>Touch the screen to make the ball hover
>Wait until the mon attacks so that the circle is paused
>If the circle was of a good size before the attack, spin the ball and throw it right before the circle becomes visible again
Noticed last time that the reason several of my balls didn't even hit it was because the "spin" disappears if you just keep spinning the ball nonstop, making it just fall outside the screen. The occasional jump and attack also ruins a perfectly good throw, and since there's no chance of it running away on its own, every ball that connects means a chance to catch it, so make each throw count.
Continuously landed great and excellent throws with this approach, the rest is left to the RNG to decide if they are successful enough, but one can at the very least leave the raid feeling that your throws wasn't what failed you.