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Does anyone legitimately think Ash WON'T win the league? He's already promised to Diantha he'd win. But more importantly...
If Ash and Alain actually do face off one on one, which is how it's probably going to be, and he wins, that would place Ash's power at Elite Four level. I honestly don't see anyone at the Kalos League able to put up much of a fight at that point. It all comes down to when/if Ash defeats Alain.
Furthermore, Based Director doesn't do retarded ass pulls like with Tobias, reinforcing the fact that Ash will most likely, win the league.