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as an autistic mathfag i would like to make a correction:
i previously posted here that the odds of ex rosa failing due to air cutter not critting as 13.5%, but in actuality its 12%. The error was due to not realising that two specific air cutters in the fight (the very first one and the one immediately after the first unity attack) don't actually need to crit, since the first attack with empty unity doesn't subtract anything from the counter.
There's even an extremely rare fringe case scenario, where after 6 air cutters the righthand roserade isn't dead (while serperior has energy ball queue'd up). If this happens, you can actually get a scenario where one of the air cutters doesn't crit, but it does cause the barely-alive right side roserade to die AFTER it's queued up a mud slap. Mud slap is cleared from the queue and you can queue up one EXTRA air cutter before the left goomy cues up facade. It's such an extremely rare and specific set of outcomes that I can't really factor it into the numbers tho.
Yes I know this post is autistic.
