>>49065834 (continued)Taking a quick sample of only the Kanto mons I arrive at roughly ~15-20% Zodiac mons. This is with me being fairly permissive (cat=tiger, fox=dog, rodent-ish=rat), I give a range because a few are stretches (e.g. I think both Nidorans are rabbits, but others might disagree).
Taking the worst case for the theory, I punch the 20% value into a binomial distribution calculator for 8 trials and 6 successes and I get 0.00123136 as the probability of successes greater than or equal to 6.
So, a ~0.1% chance that the Fire starters are coincidentally Zodiac. Still quite small.
Further arguments to consider:
1) None of the Zodiac animals overlap for the starters. Taking this into account would shift the odds in favour of the Zodiac theory quite a bit.
2) Some creature concepts are nearly antithetical with Fire types, or are at least unconventional or less likely Fire starters (say, a fish-like Fire type, or a Fire plant). Some types (like Bug) are antithetical with the Zodiac animals. This means the overall fraction of Zodiac vs. not Zodiac is not very representative when narrowed down to Fire types.
Perhaps it would be better to see the fraction of all Fire types which are Zodiac animals, with starters included/excluded (narrowing too much?) Or maybe: of all Zodiac-like Pokemon, including or excluding Fire starters, what fraction are Fire types?