>>35083906>>35083915If you're braindead and keep doing bad throws without golden razz, even after ten (connecting) throws your probability would be about 50%.
Actually aiming for great curveballs using golden razz, your probability is really high. Just remember to do the trick where you throw your curveball just as the attack animation is ending.
If you're not familiar with said trick
>Hold ball until circle is desired size>Lift finger from screen without throwing the ball>Wait for Pokémon to attack>During attack animation, rev up your curve ball>Throw just before the circle re-appears, timing for the ball to connect when the circle does re-appearDo it right and the circle will be the same size as when you lifted it earlier. Trick is incredibly useful for consistent great curveballs, or excellent curveballs on legendaries.