>>18785713>>18786107Actually bothered to calculate it.
Turns out that uninvested base 150 defense at -1 is equal to uninvested base 94 defense with no modifiers.
-1 Mega Tyranitar survives Mega Scizor's unboosted Bullet Punch, assuming no prior damage, and has a slim chance to endure a Bullet Punch from CB variants.
CB Crawdaunt's Aqua Jet will never OHKO without prior damage. A theoretical Shell Smash MegaTar would probably only need two or fewer 'mons removed from the opposing team in order to end the game.
If you'd like, I can tell you how it would come to pass.