>>26801608Doing some back-of-the-napkin math:
A quick survey of a volcano database website gave me some info:
# of volcanoes active within last 10,000 years: about 1500 on land, and an unknown but disproportionately larger number underwater. Since the world is about 70% ocean, and we can guesstimate that the ocean floor has about 150% as many volcanoes per unit area, I brought that up to approximately 7,000.
The website also listed the average widths of many volcanoes, and a survey of about 30 of different types suggested an average average width beautifully close to 1km. If we make that square to ease the math, that's 1(km^2) per volcano, which, with the above number, means that about 7,000(km^2) of the Earth's surface, counting ocean floor, is made up of volcanoes.
Knowing that the surface area of Earth is about 510.1million(km^2), we get a 0.000014% chance that a given meteor would hit a volcano. And if we're calculating for an inpact of the actual mouth of the volcano? Fucking forget it.
So yeah. Low odds.