/vp/ - Pokémon » Thread #28252823

[25 / 5 / ?]

Rng hate thread 2.0

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 06:42:06 No.28252823 View View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>28253077 >>28253226 >>28253363

Crystalfag here again. Hunting a Pikachu this time on route 2. 5% appearance rate my ass. I'm at 60+ encounters, no luck yet.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 06:51:38 No.28252923 Report

Quoted By: >>28253077

So apparently both Serebii and Bulbapedia are full of shit, according to stadium 2

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:09:58 No.28253077 Report

Quoted By: >>28253307

>>28252923
"no"

>>28252823
>what is the gambler's fallacy

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:25:19 No.28253226 Report

Quoted By: >>28253243 >>28253257

>>28252823
5% means it will appear 5 out of 100 encounters. If you're only at 60 encounter, it's technically not wrong

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:27:17 No.28253243 Report

Quoted By: >>28253274 >>28253278 >>28253307

>>28253226
>5% means it will appear 5 out of 100 encounters.
Again.
>what is the gambler's fallacy
You are not guaranteed to see 5 of X Pokemon per 100 encounters at a 5% appearance rate. After hundreds of thousands of encounters, that's just what the statistical chance is.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:29:27 No.28253257 Report

Quoted By: >>28253274 >>28253339

>>28253226
Imagine it this way.

There are 100 slots, and Pikachu is designated on slots 1-5. You would have to land on Slot 1-5 to encounter Pikachu. Each time you don't, the slot numbers do not decrease. They stay the same.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:31:02 No.28253274 Report

Quoted By: >>28253289

>>28253257
>>28253243
Shut up nerds

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:31:51 No.28253278 Report

Quoted By: >>28253318

>>28253243
Didn't mean to imply it was guaranteed. Just simply pointing out that OP can't call the encounter rate bullshit if he hasn't even reached 100 encounters yet

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:32:53 No.28253289 Report

Quoted By:

>>28253274
Nah lol

Anonymous

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Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:35:18 No.28253307 Report

Quoted By: >>28253333

>>28253077
From the official Nintendo power guidebook for Crystal. This is two official sources now, stadium 2 and this book, that show that it doesn't appear at night. Both sites are wrong.

>>28253243
I took an introductory stat class too. Fuck off

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:36:42 No.28253318 Report

Quoted By: >>28253336 >>28253346

>>28253278
basic math implies a 5/100 probability would be a 1/25 probability as well. So OP could call it bullshit by your explanation. Even though that isn't how probability and statistics work.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:39:21 No.28253333 Report

Quoted By: >>28253345 >>28253367

>>28253307
>implying those things aren't always full of errors

>needing to have taken a statistics class to know what the gambler's fallacy is

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:39:41 No.28253336 Report

Quoted By:

>>28253318
1/20, not 1/25. And I'm well over two hundred encounters at this point, no Pikachu. Ive seen more than twenty Ariados though, which also has a 5% appearance rate. Two official sources, stadium 2 and the crystal Nintendo power guide, both give contradictory info to Serebii and Bulbapedia.

I'm calling it, the sites are wrong.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:39:48 No.28253339 Report

Quoted By: >>28253364 >>28253381

>>28253257
>>28253257
I didn't think that's how the encounter rates worked. I thought they literally meant "this Pokémon has an xx% chance of appearing," not that "this Pokémon only appears on xx out of 100 tiles"

I could be wrong. I don't know anything about that aspect of the games.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:40:48 No.28253345 Report

Quoted By: >>28253356

>>28253333
So you're underage or uneducated. Either way, you're full of shit

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:40:51 No.28253346 Report

Quoted By:

>>28253318
^1/20

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:42:34 No.28253356 Report

Quoted By: >>28253361

>>28253345
Neither, I'm just not so retarded that I need someone else to tell me how basic statistics work.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:43:39 No.28253361 Report

Quoted By:

>>28253356
You're still full of shit

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:43:51 No.28253363 Report

Quoted By: >>28253373

>>28252823
it doesnt come out at night

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:43:58 No.28253364 Report

Quoted By:

>>28253339
It's not tiles, its hex in the game's registry.
Ignoring the rest of the game, if the RNG called offset 0x00 to 0x05 out of a potential 0x64 (100 in hex), you'd get Pikachu. Otherwise, you'd get an encounter that isn't Pikachu.

In this case, the sites are simply wrong. Pikachu does not spawn at night.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:44:08 No.28253367 Report

Quoted By:

>>28253333
>thinking you're smart for understanding gambling is a scam
This is on the level of thinking you're different because you realise religion is fake. Everyone knows this shit, you're not special.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:45:17 No.28253373 Report

Quoted By:

>>28253363
That's what I've been saying. Bulbapedia and Serebii both claim it does tho

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:46:45 No.28253381 Report

Quoted By: >>28253444

>>28253339
Feebas is the only mon that only appears on specific tiles, unless you count gen ii headbutt trees

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 07:55:36 No.28253444 Report

Quoted By: >>28253623

>>28253381
>headbutt trees

did they remove this feature after gen 2? Why, it was fucking cool

Anonymous

Anonymous Sun 04 Sep 2016 08:19:52 No.28253623 Report

Quoted By:

>>28253444
In gen 4 it's there but it's set for everyone, where in gen 2 it was decided by your id number

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Rng hate thread 2.0