/vp/ - Pokémon » Thread #32494058

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Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:22:25 No.32494058 View View Reply Original Report

Well shit
Does this mean I will not hatch a shiny pokemon at the daycare? I was in the middle of running to farm eggs when by mistake I enter the grass and this Fucker appeared

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:23:42 No.32494069 Report

Quoted By: >>32494083 >>32494088

Should I reset the game?

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:24:35 No.32494075 Report

Quoted By:

It's all RNG it doesn't matter when you find shiny. Name it Dirty Son.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:25:52 No.32494080 Report

Quoted By: >>32494095

Why the fuck would you think this?

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:26:30 No.32494083 Report

Quoted By:

>>32494069
Yes you need to reset the game

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:28:11 No.32494088 Report

Quoted By:

>>32494069
yes, you have to

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:28:29 No.32494089 Report

Quoted By: >>32494108 >>32494802

>>32494058
It has almost no effect on your odds.

Most people seem to picture odds as a sort of imaginary counter ticking down. As if the game has a preset number for you before a shiny appears that eats down with each pokemon found. That's not how it works.

It's more like a big ass dart board, and each time you had a pokemon its a new dart thrown at a clean board. So it will have ALMOST no detrimental effect on your odds.

There is one small exception. The way the game calculates new encounter values has roughly the values for the next 30 pokemon predetermined. If you happened to have saved less than 30 egg+wild pokemon spwans prior, I'd shut the game off and spawn 30 eggs and hatch them.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:29:42 No.32494092 Report

Quoted By:

Congrats on your shiny you idiot

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:30:25 No.32494095 Report

Quoted By:

>>32494080
Because people talk out of their ass to people who know very little about the stuff the first person is talking about.

And then misinformation, aka fake news, spreads like a wild fire.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 14:32:49 No.32494108 Report

Quoted By: >>32494518 >>32494802

>>32494089
This
I was hatching 18 eggs but found nothing thenew I began to farm more to put them at pokepelago and then this happened. Then is okay to reset?
Is not like the Fucker has good nature or ivs anyway

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 15:59:27 No.32494518 Report

Quoted By:

>>32494108

wonder trade it at least, let someone enjoy that shiny.

why would you reset anyways/

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 16:03:18 No.32494548 Report

Quoted By: >>32495225

Same exact thing happened to me. Except I'm trying to get a shiny female combee but am at 15 shiny males. I'm pissed

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 16:08:14 No.32494577 Report

Quoted By: >>32495289

>>32494058

gambler's fallacy. if you get no shinies for 1000 encounters, your next encounter still has the same probability as before. same as if you got 5 in a row

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 16:09:08 No.32494583 Report

Quoted By:

Thats not how statistics work

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 16:15:30 No.32494614 Report

Quoted By: >>32495409 >>32496696

That's not how odds work, anon.
Theoretically you could play the game and run into nothing but shinies the entire time.
Practically that's not gonna happen but there is an actual possibility for that since basically every encounter rolls the same dice for a new chance of it being shiny.

I mean shit, only a few days ago a dude from here managed to get two shinies in one double battles. The odds for that happening are ridiculously low.

Anonymous

View Same Google ImgOps iqdb SauceNAO U2hgWit.png, 698KiB, 681x2766

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 16:52:56 No.32494802 Report

Quoted By:

>>32494089
>>32494108

Not true. Magikarp swapping has proven that shininess is pre determined pretty much before you even turn the game on.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 18:08:57 No.32495225 Report

Quoted By:

>>32494548
why not use the Magikarp swap method so you can use the shiny on something you don't mind is male?

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 18:17:09 No.32495289 Report

Quoted By:

>>32494577
I don't know exactly how Pokemon RNG works, but the Gambler's Fallacy doesn't always apply to games. Game pseudo-random number generators aren't like rolling dice, they're more like a big list of pre-rolled numbers, and each time you need randomness it picks the next from the list. If you can make the game "waste" a value from the list it will move on to the next one. This is how TASes can get perfect RNG. Sometimes games need randomness every frame and you can't manipulate the RNG without frame-perfect inputs, but in other games it's feasible for humans to manipulate the RNG.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 18:37:06 No.32495409 Report

Quoted By: >>32496696 >>32496784

>>32494614
Spinach is a qt that likes to scatter things

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 22:18:59 No.32496696 Report

Quoted By: >>32496784

>>32495409
>>32494614
That was a fantastic thread

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 09 May 2017 22:35:33 No.32496784 Report

Quoted By:

>>32495409
nobody will believe me but I was the one to suggest that name

>>32496696
I hope somebody screencapped it

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