/vp/ - Pokémon » Thread #33459512

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 04:20:16 No.33459512 View View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>33459561 >>33461108 >>33461299 >>33461453 >>33463507 >>33464679

>use Fire Blast
>it misses

Never use moves with less than 100 accuracy, lads.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 04:22:27 No.33459531 Report

Quoted By:

>Use horn drill
>It hits

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 04:26:56 No.33459553 Report

Quoted By:

>use 100 accuracy moves
>the foe have brightpoweder held
>the foe avoide the attack

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 04:28:29 No.33459561 Report

Quoted By:

>>33459512
>use flamethrower
>miss out on several crucial OHKOs and 2HKOs

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 11:30:24 No.33461093 Report

Quoted By: >>33469171 >>33469237 >>33469852

It's amazing how blatantly untrue most moves' stated accuracy is

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 11:36:57 No.33461108 Report

Quoted By:

>>33459512
yeah, I had a lot of bad experiences with this on showdown so i will never use them again
fuck moves that can miss

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 12:36:25 No.33461299 Report

Quoted By:

>>33459512
>use Scald
>it burns

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 12:40:54 No.33461315 Report

Quoted By: >>33461417

I never use moves with 75 accuracy or less, unless if a Pokemon has Compoundeyes.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 13:09:43 No.33461417 Report

Quoted By: >>33461466 >>33467748

>>33461315
>use Thunder with Galvantula
>it still misses

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 13:13:35 No.33461429 Report

Quoted By:

Imagine tfw when it misses 3 times in a row

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 13:20:48 No.33461453 Report

Quoted By: >>33461461 >>33463468 >>33463721 >>33467836 >>33469892

>>33459512
>be in game
>use 90% accuracy move
>it misses 5 times out of 10 instead of 1

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 13:23:27 No.33461461 Report

Quoted By: >>33461470

>>33461453
That's because it's 1/10 chances of missing every time. The chance doesn't sequentially improve after each use. You'd know this if you actually studied statistics and probability.

Useless, cretinous moron.

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 13:25:25 No.33461466 Report

Quoted By:

>>33461417
It becomes like 91% acc. Still better but like Xcom, even 99% means that it will miss when you need it the most.

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 13:26:20 No.33461470 Report

Quoted By: >>33461524 >>33469185

>>33461461
No, you're the moron
Imagine how unlucky you'd have to be to stumble upon the 1 out of 10 chances to fail half the time

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 13:30:38 No.33461489 Report

Quoted By: >>33461558

>use thunder wave
>misses twice
>finally hits
>opponent is still faster and hits every round
rng was a mistake

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 13:37:16 No.33461524 Report

Quoted By:

>>33461470
That's how statistics and chance work, you entitled little fuck.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 13:41:52 No.33461558 Report

Quoted By:

>>33461489
>>use thunder wave

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 18:44:49 No.33463468 Report

Quoted By: >>33463542 >>33469613

>>33461453
This is why I always use a low-accuracy move before the 90% accuracy move. The first miss makes it more likely that my other attacks will hit, since it's so unlikely to miss twice in a row off of a 90% move.

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 18:49:52 No.33463507 Report

Quoted By:

>>33459512
that's why I refuse to use Focus Miss
just make Aurasphere a TM already GF

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 18:55:54 No.33463542 Report

Quoted By: >>33463551 >>33463573

>>33463468
That's not how it works you fucking shitstain.

And frogposters get out, take your REEEtardation with you.

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 18:56:50 No.33463551 Report

Quoted By: >>33463797

>>33463542
>Being dumb
I pity you. I'd tell you to read a book on statistics, but you probably can't even read this useful life advice.

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 18:57:35 No.33463556 Report

Quoted By:

Just don't whine to the opponent about hax if you chose to use low accuracy moves and they cost you the game

So many fucking children will kick and scream and whine to me like it's my fault they were too greedy to opt for flame thrower/surf/etc

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 18:59:37 No.33463573 Report

Quoted By: >>33463588

>>33463542
>not using Sing twice so that it's guaranteed to hit since 55%+55%= 110% accuracy

Anonymous

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Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 19:01:56 No.33463588 Report

Quoted By: >>33463843 >>33463862

>>33463573

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 19:25:26 No.33463721 Report

Quoted By: >>33463797 >>33469153

>>33461453
learn about the concept of independence in statistics. each time an event takes place the same probability of the event remains. each time you use the move there is always a 10 percent chance that it will miss. the most likely outcome of 10 moves occuring is that 1 will miss but it is still a possible but unlikely outcome that all 10 moves will miss. its like how you can flip a coin and get 5 heads in a row, that is very unlikely because there is only a 50 percent chance of that one event occurring each time but it can still happen

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 19:38:19 No.33463797 Report

Quoted By: >>33464704

>>33463551
See >>33463721
Then try passing preschool before calling someone else dumb, nigger.

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 19:42:55 No.33463838 Report

Quoted By:

>been training my bellsprout, he has half hp
>battle against rattata
>use sleep powder, motherfucker misses it
>the rodent crits my poor dumb plant and he's now in the red hp zone
>use vine whip, motherfucker crits it to death

I went from "fuck rng" to "bless rng" in 5 seconds flat

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 19:43:59 No.33463843 Report

Quoted By:

>>33463588
Clever reaction image, saved.

Oujou archetype best type.

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 19:46:32 No.33463862 Report

Quoted By:

>>33463588
Kek! Stolen.

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 21:32:17 No.33464679 Report

Quoted By:

>>33459512
>Put zoom lens on slow rock type
>Rock type's stone edge now has 96 accuracy when moving last
>Miss 4 in a row
Is almost like the game knows.

Anonymous

Anonymous Mon 04 Sep 2017 21:36:37 No.33464704 Report

Quoted By:

>>33463797
>Being this mad because math is too hard for you

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 03:04:22 No.33466986 Report

Quoted By:

ITT: people who can't math

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 04:48:17 No.33467748 Report

Quoted By: >>33467759

>>33461417
Rain dance teams are pretty nice.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 04:50:10 No.33467759 Report

Quoted By:

>>33467748
>Rain dance
>when pelipper exists

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 05:03:09 No.33467836 Report

Quoted By: >>33469218 >>33469244

>>33461453
ok statnerds what is the probability of a 90% accurate move hitting 5 times and missing 5 times in any order
I thought it was (9/10)^5*(1/10)^5 which is uh really small

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 11:28:23 No.33469153 Report

Quoted By: >>33469814

>>33463721
Do you even read what you type?
>unlikely outcome that all 10 moves will miss
Yes it is fucking unlikely that a 90% move behaves like a 0% move on 10 tries, and the frog poster was referring to how unlikely it is for a 90% move to behave like an average 50% move on 10 tries.

What the fuck is even your point? "hurr it can mathematically happen so there's nothing wrong with it happening at the worst possible time"?

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 11:37:29 No.33469171 Report

Quoted By:

>>33461093
It's amazing how little you understand about probability.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 11:42:49 No.33469185 Report

Quoted By:

>>33461470
The odds of this happening are 0.0015, or 1 in ~66,000. Low, but far from impossible. And with how many people play Pokémon everyday, it's bound to happen to someone eventually.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 11:51:48 No.33469218 Report

Quoted By: >>33469244

>>33467836
Binompdf(10, 0.9, 5)=0.0015

>statnerds
This is basic shit, my guy. I learned this when I was fifteen. American education has failed.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 11:58:22 No.33469237 Report

Quoted By:

>>33461093
Never gamble dude, people like you tend to become addicts

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 12:02:18 No.33469244 Report

Quoted By: >>33469542

>>33467836
>>33469218
That's not how probability works.
You can calculate the probability of missing 5 times in a row, but there's no relation at all between each attack otherwise

You can't say "I missed many times therefore I have chance of hitting now", it doesn't work this way

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 13:22:57 No.33469542 Report

Quoted By:

>>33469244
There is nothing wrong with the last equation. The guy asked what the probability of missing 5 times out of 10 was, not if missing a 5th time was any less likely if he had already missed 4.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 13:35:12 No.33469613 Report

Quoted By:

>>33463468
Should've posted Yoshiko instead.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 14:16:54 No.33469814 Report

Quoted By: >>33469845

>>33469153
(You)

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 14:21:00 No.33469845 Report

Quoted By: >>33469852

>>33469814
Literally nothing wrong with the post.
Being annoyed/sad that you get a very unlikely sequence of rolls is perfectly fine.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 14:22:07 No.33469852 Report

Quoted By: >>33469892

>>33469845
others ITT were saying stuff like this >>33461093 so they just figured a frogposter would be just as dumb. stop being a dumb frogposter apologist

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 14:29:07 No.33469892 Report

Quoted By: >>33469908

>>33469852
Then stop replying (You) to perfectly fine posts. And for the record the reply chain started with >>33461453 which just is some anon being mildly annoyed of getting shit rolls and doesn't claim the game is cheating or giving false probabilities.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 05 Sep 2017 14:32:08 No.33469908 Report

Quoted By:

>>33469892
dumb frogposter apologist

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