>>36072165As a proponent of it being real, I believe it since it matches practically everything we knew about it from photo and video evidence, as well as the first-hand experience from people that attended the event years ago. But I think the real tell that makes it harder to prove, but probably makes it sound even more dubious to outsiders is quirks and leftovers in the code that weren't known by the hacking community prior to the leaks.
Ultimately, even though it's a wholly incomplete rom, you have to look at it objectively. If it were fake, someone would have had to pour over all the available information we've known about it, both in terms of physical evidence (that wasn't ever in the best of quality and worse now) and interviews, etc. and recreate everything with a margin of error that no one would question the things we can verify.
But more than that, they would need to create believable assets even for the things we can't, that sell the concept we've known about since the games were originally announced, like the region being a reflection of Japan. And things we didn't, like a miniature Kanto.
This had to be a believable prototype that did not include Iwata's compression and featured things that we know were in the prototype but didn't appear in the final game, that we would only find out still existed in the code after that prototype was released.
The sheer amount of effort and time that this would have taken to fake is simply immense, even being incomplete. There's just so many points of failure where it would have made it painfully obvious, it's tough to even imagine.
Of course, it still could be. Everything could have gone perfect with it and the faker may actually be laughing that people believe the hype about it. But there's so much that they would have needed to know to make this, it really is mind boggling.