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The anime director said that Ash, Gladion, Kiawe, Hau, and Ilima all each have a 20% chance of winning the league.
Ilima loses to Guzma in Round 1, and Hau loses to Ash in Round 2, so that only leaves Ash, Gladion, and Kiawe with a 33.3% chance each.
Ilima loses to Guzma in Round 1, and Hau loses to Ash in Round 2, so that only leaves Ash, Gladion, and Kiawe with a 33.3% chance each.
