>>47831052No, they're correct, it's less, unless it's a promoted Shiny raid.
They messed up, the rates were supposed to be 15/16 star and 1/16 square, but messed up coding RE effects so it's an almost guaranteed chance square (something stupid like 20million to one on rolling stars wild). For eggs or raids, where the player finds them themselves (either by date-skipping or by plain old random chance) they're found at the rate of 15/16 chance of stars and 1/16 squares.