>>53826110Right so uh, I'm gonna really fire up the neurons for this one and analyze every word and aspect of this disaster.
- The original tweet gave a release date, 5/24, and the date was the same for every region.
- There was no information of when the necessary maintenance would be taking place posted anywhere. They do have to give a few days notice before doing a Pokemon HOME maintenance due to its nature as an active service (they wouldn't necessarily need to post it immediately, but it would've had to go up by Monday at the latest). Had this gone up immediately we would know for certain that the date was always set for the 24th.
- The new tweet says they mistakenly posted a release date, and that the actual release date is yet to be announced. This is a lie, just an actual lie. At the time they posted that tweet, it was the release date.
- The Great Tusk/Iron Treads event is bugged and the event is pulled (and so is Chesnaught I think? might be wrong). The event would have ended on the 21st and there would be no event running on the 24th, so this shouldn't be a factor.
- A patch for S/V to fix something related to online competitions was to be released during the 5/22 and 5/26 (most likely immediately before the HOME update). This update would not be necessary for HOME to connect to S/V, only HOME needs to be updated to do that.
- The japanese version of the delay announcement mentions the date being wrong for certain "regions". It's possible they're modifying the launch so it goes live on different days in different regions.
My chief suspicion though is that the Great Tusk/Iron Treads cancellation is the main factor here. The delay announcement is very sudden and actually forced them to tell a big obvious embarrassing lie, and the only thing that's happened the original announcement and the delay announcement is the Great Tusk/Iron Treads event being pulled.