>>58897370>>58897629I understand, see, and honestly kind of half-agree with your points.
I think that it'll end up mostly like
>>58897597 said. This will just be the next VGC "spike" that's been happening for generations now.
It will certainly be bigger than normal because it's mobile, that's for sure, but ultimately, I think it won't reach the levels you're thinking of.
I remember how when Mastersex came out people went "It's over, all other gachas are finished" and when Unite came out people went "It's over, all other mobas are finished" and at the end of the day they're both mid-range games in terms of popularity, and that's being generous.
Pokemon is a very very VERY casual franchise. Any competitive of any of it will always be only for the tryhard giganerds.
There's GO, massive casual playerbase, but how many do play competitively? I did a quick check now and apparently regs hit consistently +100 people. It sounds like a lot but that's also fucking nothing when you think about it. Granted, I know fuck-all about GO so maybe there's other reasons or maybe I checked wrong.
What you're calling will happen in the short-term for sure, but I really really doubt people will stay in the long-term for the same reasons VGC has never caught up and become a "real e-sport" until now. Champions being more accessible will not change the core gameplay of competitive Pokemon. Casuals don't like having to memorize an entire wiki to be able to play a game, much less understand what the fuck they're watching on-screen, and last but not least casuals HATE competitive centralization.
People will try it out, some will stay, but I believe the great majority of people will dip out as time goes when they realize how ass competitive Pokemon is. That's how I think things will go.