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Been thinking about something recently, usually the girls raid themselves kinda randomly to whoever is streaming at the moment when there is no option left, but when there are multiple options, what makes more sense to do? ask chat? funnel to your closest friend? funnel to the holo with the lower CCV at the moment?
The last one is a bad idea as retention rates for holos with lower tiers in the hierarchy tend to be low or overall it tends to be unpredictable. However, I have a schizo theory, let's call this retention rate "affinity" for now, there are holos that have more affinity with other holos (ie. their content is kinda similar) and their fans would be more likely to stay (high retention rate) so, how do you predict this "affinity" then? well, how about chat overlap? if their fans tend to visit the same girls's chat, well that would be a good indication of affinity between them. How to prove it? well, it should be a matter of making a spread sheet of the chat overlap, both X and Y axis the names (or pictures) of the girls, and the intersection of each should contain the chat overlap %, this would be the expected affinity, then it would take a long time but after the chart is done with those values, it would be a matter of comparing if the expected values are close to what it's observed after a raid is done.
So, thoughts?