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can someone who's good at math give me some tips
This is Ui Loli Kami since october, weekly views rolling over hourly
the trendline is just a basic exponential function, and it fits it pretty neatly
the issue is that if you extrapolate out this exponential function it ends up decaying too quickly, and you get unrealistically low viewcounts as soon as few months time. We know from experience that there are basically no big yt MVs that would actually decay as quickly as this exponential function would expect it to, even though the function as it is does a pretty good job of matching the datapoints so far since the R squared is 0.994
What's a more realistic way to model yt MV growth decay, given that we know MVs stabilize at higher growthrates. Should I just add a vertical offset or something? But then how do we predict what the offset should be?