>>87439588>June to Dec next yearYeah, that's my take too. According to OP's chart, she's losing about 2k-4k subs per month (the website OP screencapped only tracks the first three digits and ignores the rest, so a drop from 530,001 to 529,999 would be listed as -1,000 instead of -2; from 532,001 to 529,999 as -3,000 instead of -2,002; and from 532,999 to 529,001 as -3,000 instead of -3,998). If the pace holds, she should drop to under 500k in about 7-14 months from now, or sometime between May and December 2025.
But the question we should be asking isn't "when will Elira drop below 500k", but "will Niji EN still exist by the time Elira drops below 500k?" And I'm pretty sure the answer to the second question is "no," unless she somehow manages to drop under 500k before December 20, 2024 - that date is Luxiem's third anniversary, and EN management is gonna spend more than twice as much on that celebration as Doppio and Rosemi spent (of their own money) on their recent tournament. Management isn't gonna close the branch before then if they can avoid it, even with it being a bit more than a week after the Q2 report.
The only way EN management will close the branch before Luxiem's anniversary is if there is a massive, MASSIVE yab with the branch that causes upper management or even Riku himself to nuke the branch on the spot; or if Vox or Luca do something so bad that management cannot not fire them for it, but instead close the entire branch so that they don't have to announce why they're firing Vox or Luca. They already have a seme (picrel) of technically-not-a-lie reasons available so that they can close the EN branch without needing to officially tell the investors that they've own-goaled themselves out of the overseas markets; so if they need to close the branch earlier than they want to, or if they fire everyone specifically to avoid publishing a notice explaining why they had to fire Vox and/or Luca, they can do so without lying to the investors or the market regulators in the process.
