>>86889212>>86889543Admittedly, "Could Make It On the Outside" wasn't the greatest wording, but here's the not-so-short list of our "graduates" so far:
Pomu (Female)
>Popularity at Peak: High | Duration: 2Y8M>Method of Exit: Graduation (amicable) | Timing: Pre-Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: Low/subtle>How Are They Now?: Returned to PL as a comfortable 4view (YT), getting ready for 3.0 end of the month.Selen (Female)
>Popularity at Peak: High | Duration: 2Y7M (5M if dropping the last 2 months of “hiatus”)>Method of Exit: Termination (no introduction needed) | Timing: Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: The answer to this one depends a lot on what you consider to be a pot-shot. She was (in)directly responsible for the reputational damage that Niji now has in composite, but most of that was arguably self-inflicted. >How Are They Now?: Returned to PL as a comfortable 4view (YT/Twitch) coasting in her own lane, made her own “business”.Nina (Female)
>Popularity at Peak: Medium-High | Duration: 1Y9M>Method of Exit: Graduation (amicable) | Timing: Pre-Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: High. Possibly higher than anybody else in fact. >How Are They Now?: New identity as a comfortable 4view (Twitch) in VS.Mysta (Male)
>Popularity at Peak: Highest | Duration: 1Y8M>Method of Exit: Graduation (amicable) | Timing: Pre-Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: Low-medium, had some personal financial grievances> How Are They Now?: New identity as a comfortable 4view (Twitch) in VS.Yugo (Other)
>Popularity at Peak: Medium-High | Duration: 10M>Method of Exit: Graduation (not amicable) | Timing: Pre-Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: Effectively none.>How Are They Now?: Has mostly existed the vtubing format, so it’s hard to gauge. Seems happier at the very least.Kyo (Male)
>Popularity at Peak: Medium | Duration: 1Y7M>Method of Exit: Graduation (amicable) | Timing: Post-Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: Low, took a pot shot on his return video (“nightmare”)>How Are They Now?: Returned to PL as a comfortable 3view (Twitch). Notably less well off than the others, but not exceptionally poor. Zaion (Female)
>Popularity at Peak: Low-Medium | Duration: 3M (Around half of that time was inactive)>Method of Exit: Termination (very not amicable) | Timing: Pre-Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: Medium-high. Most of her grievances were settled with the .docx or otherwise targeted at specific individuals.>How Are They Now?: PL/Rebrand bouncing between 3view and 4view (YT/Twitch). Still has menhera episodes from time to time.Hex (Male)
>Popularity at Peak: High | Duration: 1Y8M>Method of Exit: Graduation (amicable) | Timing: Post-Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: None>How Are They Now?: TBD returning to PL (Twitch), comeback stream may be an early indicator.Kunai (Female)
>Popularity at Peak: Low | Duration: 11M (7M if dropping last 4 months of hiatus)>Method of Exit: Graduation (neutral) | Timing: Post-Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: Low, but PL activity and support of post-Selen accounts may be viewed as “hostile”>How Are They Now?: TBD returned to PL (Twitch), too soon to say.(Bonus) Michi: Female
>Popularity at Peak: High | Duration: 2Y5M>Method of Exit: Graduation (amicable) | Timing: Pre-Selen | Post-grad/PL pot shots at Niji: High.>How Are They Now?: New identity as comfortable 4view (Twitch) in VS. Suffering from 3rd world issues.I have avoided absolutes here to let the facts speak for themselves and there are a lot of factors that could make this balloon further. But let's revisit the original question. *Could* the remaining members make it on the outside? I would say the answer is probably *yes* with the exception of the JP onlies, who would be cast into a market even more saturated than the west. Even the individuals who are judged to be of poor moral character still have viewers, so it doesn't seem to be beyond belief that they could find viewers in their next incarnations. Would they be better off though? Pre-Selen, I would have decisively said yes on account of the Niji cut, but it's not as certain anymore, especially if you are male. and even more so since most of them decided to ride-or-die following the black screen (note that Victoria and Kunai checked out one way or another). If you are like Elira getting 11 different merch lines or Maria getting connections to pump out song covers, it's hard to say that you can carry that over as an indie, and certainly not when working with western content creators. In theory, they could make those connections in JP themselves, but why bother when you can get el rainbow to do it for you? As for da wose, I have yet to see any evidence, compelling or at all, to suggest that she is planning an exit at any point in the near future.