>>81705296While I am too lazy to do the actual math, there's going to be seasonality as well as lack of independence between events which muddies up everything. So while it might be a simple and understandable estimate, the assumptions are broken and is entirely unreliable. The reason I won't do the actual math is because I would have to build the actual datasheet and censor streams that lack independence and such.
>Thus, I'd say the chance is roughly 50-50. Either she'll stream, or she won't.Same, sister.
