Quoted By:
To help anons color that bloke commentary on NIjisanji and "growth", here is the
>NINETY (90) DAYS TRUE AVERAGE AND MEDIAN OF PEAKS
chart for Nijisanji (the Japanese branch).
Nijisanji operates in a different way the rest of the market (Hololive in particular) does in the sense they have well defined "seasons" with such a disparity in performance it is even visible in this 90 days chart (which usually smooths out any seasonal disparity).
Nijisanji seasons are
>strong summer
>weak autumn
>strong winter
>weak spring
as it can be seen in this chart with the peaks in September and February and the troughs in November and May.
Now, also in this chart it can be seen that Nijisanji peaks are getting lower by the year with the "Summer of Salome" in 2022 being the highest, then a more subdued 2023 and an even more subdued
>granted, in part thanks to the "view bug"
in 2024.
The median is also reflecting that. Usually it is a stable metric for them because, with around 130 active channels in any of these recent 90 days period, the median shouldn't vary much due to seasonal events.
Except it is also going down and it can't be only due to the debut bonanza (35 new channels debuted after Salome) because some of these channels are stronger than the lower bound of the branch.
All in all Nijisanji is not growing any stats that is not a proxy for "number of channels". It's not dying (like their EN counterparts) but everything points to a downward movement across the table for them, from their top billing to their mid ranks to their bottom performers.
