>>25178644/Hello dsw~! I like numbers. Based on my observations, there may be just 12 days to 1,060,800(Avg - debut hype) or 14 days to 1,022,000(constant). BUT, as you can tell, these are highly unrealistic numbers due to the HYPE. This was assumed to be without a "ceiling". Of course, a ceiling exists as however popular, vtuber is still niched AF, popular only to a minor population, and further narrowed to JP and a crazy small EN( that's us ). Shark took 31 days to 1 million. Where EN is THE primary user of Youtube hence Gawr Gura could get boosted with her repertoire and agency or just being related to the child shark song. By comparing her to Orca levels of hype, a more realistic number would be 700k to maybe low 800k where it will stabilize to increments of 1-2k, once we reach that ceiling, a better prediction could be made. You see this with every generation of vtubers that debut post/mid-covid during the popular phase, it peaks and plateau, where the skills and talent will be the linear line like the Shooting star comet, but many external factors comes into play too and hence too messy to tell. A more reasonable prediction would be after 2.5 months or about 47 days, low confidence as a hype probably won't last anywhere that long, only about a week at best. Most likely being more similar to the 6th gen of hololive idol growth graph, just more compressed time frame. Viewers to her stream seems to be a mixture of JP new to vtubing community, Nijisanji JP, Nijisanji EN and a small amount from Hololive. But long-term retention is still NED and hololive is still top 10 supachats. It would be safe at this point to say that she won't be a Shark killer or idol killer, not by a long shot. As with what the Shooting star comet said, the advantage of a Vtuber is their talents and skills. I have seen highly intelligent independent Vtubers of her age struggling like hell to have less than 100 ccv with only 14k subs, so i know factors such as talents and skills can only be appreciated if one is 'visible'. I find it strange her view count shoots to 700k from 200k at 1-3am JST and peak ccv at 127k at such late timing too, this could be the hard work and dedication of Salomates or some external factor i do not know of. What i do understand is she is riding off the hype train fast, and will alight just as fast. But i will continue rooting for her desuwa even though i am a holoweeb that never steps into Nijisanji territory besides watching one of the guys with bionde hair radiating peak alpha male energy woof and has very healthy gamates. Salome was recommended to me by Youtube and i enjoyed her debut stream and she felt relatable, but i still love my idols from hololive more~
//But hey at least nijisanji numberfag can enjoy jizzing themself having being able to claim some bragging rights to the milestone to the hololive numberfags until hololive release their UBO with the highest stats across the board. ///She is a sudden newcomer with a very clean internet history, and does certain things quite characteristic of girls from the late 90s era. I think she likes story driven games, and is not afraid to ask for help which is a rare behavior. I relate to her that university about not fitting in, but she does not fit in well in early education as well? Maybe she has a sensitive temperament . I watched all her streams, i suck at japanese but still enjoyed it. So others may feel the same too dsw~
