>>31216487To master any skill you need on average about 10.000 hours
This can be shortened to 3.000 or so if the training is appropriate and well directed: typically you need focused training and mentors
You need around 600 hours to reach Celestial without any experience in Guilty Gear, and with experience ironically you are still around 500. This is her current game time I believe.
This would make her the lowest tier of the strongest tier right now.
So how long until she becomes top of the top?
Shimada doesn't have to be the top GG player, she only has to be the top vtuber GG player.
Infernochim was one of the last winners of the vtuber tournament
https://challonge.com/es/VSD_GGST_12. He was 1098 h in GG according to his stream profile. To reach his level, Shimada literally needs to double her hours in the game, this without taking into account that:
1) Training while streaming is not optimal.
2)
>>31216926 , plus pressure to perform due to being a public figure
3) Physical disadvantages (like having only one eye, broken shoulders, etc)
Assuming two optimal hours per day, that is 14 hours a week, 56 per month. That is more or less one more year lower bound to reach the "average" strongest vtuber number of hours, assuming someone like Hotashi doesn't do a png just to fuck with the chuubas.
Now of course this doesn't mean hours = strength. If you play unoptimally playing more hours can make you weaker since you just repeat your mistakes over and over. A dedicated player will soon surpass a casual who plays for "fun" even when the former has x10 the hours. It's about what you do with your time.
The other factor is that tourneys are statistical. Anyone can win a particular match, a stronger player just has a higher probability of winning. If you have 2:1 chance of winning you are tacitly twice as strong as your opponent yet you will still lose one of three matches. The winner of a particular tournament is not necessarily the strongest player in the tournament, luck always plays a part.
By hours alone, Shimada has only 1/3 of defeating someone like Infernochim times in a final, and she needs to reach it first. Every hour she plays makes the gap shorter, and with that, her odds will increase dramatically.
With this consideration, Shimada will fill the conditions on being "stupidly strong" - becoming the strongest vtuber - at some point probability between four months and ten months if she keeps her current rhythm, trains optimally, and doesn't suffer any more injuries.
it is important to set one expectation based on facts, this is the key to healthy progress. While time gamps might seem dismal, I will remind you of the old proverb: the best time to plant a tree was ten years ago, the second best time is now. You all shall consider this for all your endeavors as well.
