Here we go again, allocating odds for each member advancing to finals:
Group A: Okayu 95%, Towa 75%, Marine 75%, Iroha 45%, Chloe 45%, Kronii 20%, Fubuki 15%, Matsuri 10%, Ame 5%, Anya 5%, Nene 5%, Moona 5%
Group B: Suisei 95%, Watame 65%, Miko 65%, Gura 60%, Luna 40%, Ayame 25%, Kaela 25%, Roboco 5%, Mel 5%, Kobo 5%, Haachama 5%, Lamy 5%
Group C: Subaru 85%, Pekora 85%, Mio 50%, Lui 50%, Reine 50%, Ollie 30%, Koyori 10%, Zeta 10%, Aki 10%, Sora 10%, Noel 5%, Choco 5%
I gave everyone at least 5%, because the game is a godsend for flukes and potential tummy hort absences. The numbers add up to 400% per group, matching with four spots advancing.
If you agree or disagree on some odds, lemme hear it. Let's solidify the collective wisdom regarding the tournament predictions with some 30 hours to go.
Personal predictions: Suisei for Tsuyo Cup, because the last year's runner-up usually has more motivation than the reigning champion, and Koyori for Zako Cup, because she's the first Holo from the bottom that's not half-bad and could win a 12-person race without just random luck. Last place? Choco, but Moona could be really close, or other novices. It will be interesting to see how debutants/returnees (Kobo, Moona, Zeta, Haachama, Sora, Kaela) will play.