>>41270198I don't think anything will be replaced entirely, different niches will be created.
As you say the human aspect of the experience is something that will forever separate AI vtubers from real vtubers.
Just like some of the very parasocial GFE enjoyers will be drawn by the purity of AI, some will still prefer the real girls even with all the risk and baggage that come with them.
No real way of guessing which will be more popular than the other but AI and real vtubers will have to share the same space.
AI vtuber has other perks besides being pure, true and static. They also don't take breaks and stick to their schedule, they can stream as much as the manager wants.
Also the potential for an AI to be entertaining is very high, they can be very good at saying shit that seems witty and thought out and even shit like humor can be sort of emulated by AI.
A top performer real vtuber can be very funny and entertaining but a good AI vtuber is probably going to be better than many real vtubers that can't reach that high bar.
As AI gets even better it will get harder and harder to tell an AI is not real, the illusion will be so good people can be subconiously fooled into treating it as a real person.
We already see that happening with antisocial people who are more prone to it but even regular people can fall for it. We see it happen all the time with well written fictional characters or animals, people just treat them like real people.