>>5402353well we have a few other ways to measure, for example, youtube indicates if you get 15-20% interaction from paid memberships (interaction being comments on videos or likes/dislikes) you're pretty much at the top of the curve for interaction. (the interaction numbers are lower for everyone paid, unpaid and non subs who views a video, down in the 5-12% range)
so if we use youtube's metrics and assume she gets high interaction from her memberships lets say curve breaking high at 25% then 17k represents 1/4 of her actual memberships, which puts us in the 68K range. a normally high interaction like 20% would make her membership count reach 85K. and if she gets normal interaction in the 15% range you'd be talking about well over 100k paid members.
We know her paid memberships are insanely high based purely on how much she does for her members. She's the only Hololive who pays a LOT of attention to her membershrimps. Unlike others who play to the superchats she's focused laser like on her memberships. why? Well the numbers work out pretty crazy for paid memberships. for example, 20k paid members (assuming all at $5/mo) works out to 100k per month in membership fees. Sure, youtube and cover take their pound of flesh from that number but even after that she's clearing 40k from memberships alone per month at just 20k memberships. and as i pointed out her memberships can be much much higher then 20k... for gura her take home membership $$ numbers are higher then pretty much every holo's superchat revenue.
want to know why gura pays little attention to superchats? that's why. her money comes in from memberships, so she does at least one member's only event per week, lots of member karaoke's reading normal non-superchatted members comments during streams, or why out of all the holos she does so many non-monetizable streams or turns off superchats on so many of her streams. there are girls on hololive who won't post herself singing unless she can monetize it. yet gura has exactly 1 singing stream which is monitized in 8 months. all the covers are on other girl's channels. not a single collab cover on her channel.
there are girls who work the youtube algorithm for ad bucks. Mori is a good example (this isn't a criticism, just the first girl who came to mind); mori doesn't do superchats on the same stream she just did, even if she plans on doing it at the same time. Why? because superchat reading depress viewership. the Youtube algorithm counts AVERAGE viewers; if you do a 3 hour gaming stream with 30k viewers, then a 2 hour superchat attached to the same stream with just 10k watching the average views for the stream will fall down from 30k to 22k, which can hurt your ad revenue and how often your view gets recommended in the search (or where it's recommended). She does the smart thing, she ended the gaming stream and starts up a new stream for the superchat reading to keep the monetization of the gaming stream good, and not drag it down with the superchats. She does the same thing if she's just going to hang out with her chat, she knows this is a low viewer content, so she'll end whatever she was doing with higher viewership and start the hang out session as it's own video.
Gura doesn't do any of this. If you look at all of this, it's obvious Gura's income is mostly membership based.