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Breakdown on how stock affect Nijisanji

No.73588730 View ViewReplyOriginalReport
Since nobody bothers to explain, here's a TLDR that isn't just a number monkey shouting:

>How does stock affects Nijisanji?

Good part of revenue comes from Anycolor's sell/buyback cycle. For those unaware, Anycolor starves worse quarters out of events to create lower stock price for buybacks, then releases events they sat on during a better quarter to drive up the price for selling. Profit from this is then split between treasury and higher ups pockets via "stock performance bonuses" which are very fat chunks (some even call it as luxury budget as this is the money that buys fancy cars and houses). This why Anycolor treasury is so massive: it stores funds for buybacks and events that prop up stock prices.

However, it all came crashing down and even worst rrats underestimated this nuclear disaster:

-Liquidity of recent buybacks is at 50% of initial investment. Nobody, maybe beside Riku, will recieve their bonuses.
-Plans for massive NijiEN comeback in 2024 went down in gutter. The lack of growth in last two years was artificial. Anycolor was gathering up events for this year to skyrocket EN's growth, most likely due to anticipated NijiJP stagnation.
-Stock value crashed and keeps going down. Higher ups receive stock to incentive loyalty to the company (they're often used as retirement/cushion founds), and chances of top cream bailing out increase as we approach delisting line.

>Will Nijisanji survive this?

Stocks fallout won't affect Nijisanji staff and livers, but will hit higher ups like a sledgehammer. It's impossible to tell what will happen, but here are few keypoints:

If they start to spam events they didn't sit on, they're burning down war treasury to increase price for bailouts.
If investors won't sue for looses or war treasury is enough to tank this, NijiJP is profitable enough to keep company afloat for coupe of years (otherwise livers can kiss their PCs goodbye during liquidation).
If all money worms leave without dragging down the company, NijiJP has a chance to salvage itself as long their top livers don't leave.

NijiEN will be quietly folded into JP and will exist as long the company does, but don't expect much. Events they've sat on didn't meet the profit expectations and some even failed to pay for themselves, their budget is good as gone. There is a flip coin chance that sisters will spam about Luxiem getting 3D, but that will be the last highest bounce for the branch.

Unless everyone proceeds to shot themselves in the foot, no fireworks will occur besides yabs and dramas. It might be just a slow and quiet corpo death.

>Stock numberfag bonus
-The recent bounces was a result of new investors trying to get it, expecting the same scenario from 10th march 2023 where price dropped to 2110 after increase in stock amount. However, the ban on short positions was lifted and shorters are back to trying to screw bagholders and each other out of money. With enough of them being screwed over, the downwards spiral resumes

-Investors bailouts will increase as price approaches 2178 yen as this is where many long term holders caked in. Big holders might also start dropping out.

-If above occurs, stock will most likely drop bellow delisting price where Anycolor will receive one year to recover back to stable ~2k.