>>90070757Non-zero chance, but still a very low chance. Both events are in Japan, where Niji is still somewhat popular; and both events have way, WAY too many JP livers in them to outright cancel them.
Also the Christmas shit doesn't have any EN-only sub-events, so their content is not gonna get axed wholesale; only piecemeal, and only if someone scheduled to appear gets terminated within the next 4 weeks (c.f. the Selen content in AR Live)
They may cancel EN's participation in Nijifes at the last minute, but they're not gonna cancel the whole event. Only two of the seven meet and greet panels will feature anyone from EN - one has most of the members through Luxiem alongside the last two JP waves (Lunlun And Friends, and Great Value Blend S) and the other is exclusively EN, most members from Noctyx onwards - so cancelling those two panels won't hurt the main branch much. And the only other thing EN has going on at Nijiifes is the concert being headlined by the black screen trio, scheduled for a Monday matinee show.
Oh, and that guy Trout, who's been on "hiatus" since the YAB yab, is part of Great Value Blend S and is currently scheduled to be at that shared panel. Him getting "graduated" or terminated before Nijifes would give Niji a perfect excuse to shitcan both EN panels, with nobody important except Lunlun getting caught in the crossfire.