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Yo whaddup.
You may be wondering "BBB, where the FUCK are my 10k Divvies you chart-slinging hack?!!?" to which I advise you read carefully the post whole.
IRyS' dividends were $1212.77. One of the estimates, $1,120.47, came less than $100 of the actual payout. Another, similar-formula estimate, $1,025.62, also came in close, but not quite as close.
>So, what were these two estimates?
Both were estimates based on applying a % change to the previous week's dividends, using the Weekly Views/Subs to generate the % adjustment. For the closer estimate, the % change was based on the flat % change between weeks. For the other estimate, it was based on the rolling average between weeks, which tends to be a bit more stable.
>What's this mean?
At this point, what the system uses for the base value is the primary mystery factor. The major difference in all of the estimates is either in "What does it use as the base value" and "What does it use from Weekly Stats to determine the adjustment amount", which are two questions that can theoretically be separated.
>Did you crack the fucking code or not?
No. If you're looking for a sheet to plug numbers into and get free divvie calculations, keep lookin'.
>What now?
I need to target the base value. Once that comes out the rest will roughly fall into place. I'm going to start testing some formulae on other coins to see how they come out. There's also the consideration that SIX DAYS is a confirmed issue in the system's data aggregation, so it is possible that information is incorrect somewhere.
I'll keep at it and get back to you guys next week.
