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I agree with the OP here.
You can't just throwing their first week numbers and say that they're not a failure.
Looking at the trend, they can't find a flood of new fans from the outside so they will only cannibalize their senpais fanbase. They're on the way to become Niji EN. Holo EN will be stretched thin if they can't fulfill their prophecy as the 3rd gen, golden gens of hololive who can break through their respective market and become a pillar of their branch.